3. CIB Workshop

German

Date of the Workshop: April 26 and 27, 2018

Time plan of the Workshop: Timetable

 

Structure and Motivation

The third CIB Workshop in Freiberg aimed at the final evaluation and discussion of the developed storylines. The findings of the first two CIB workshops were processed by the project team (FZ Jülich and TU Bergakademie Freiberg) and the application of the CIB method resulted in 26 consistent scenarios. Furthermore, approaches of implementing the developed storylines into the models of the project partners were discussed.

We would like to express our gratitude to the participants of the third CIB Workshop:

Dipl. Wi.-Ing. Frieder Borggrefe

Deutsches Zentrum für Luft- und Raumfahrt (DLR), Stuttgart

MBA Kristina Govorukha

TU Bergakademie Freiberg

Dr. Wolfgang Habla

Zentrum für Europäische Wirtschaftsforschung (ZEW), Mannheim

Dr. Tom Kober

Paul Scherrer Institut (PSI), Villigen, Schweiz

MBA Paul Kunz

Forschungszentrum Jülich

M.Sc. Anne Mädlow

TU Bergakademie Freiberg

MBA Philip Mayer

TU Bergakademie Freiberg

Prof. Dr. Dirk Rübbelke

TU Bergakademie Freiberg

M.Sc. Georgios Savvidis

Institut für Energiewirtschaft und Rationelle Energieanwendung (IER), Stuttgart

M.Sc. Kais Siala

TU München

Dr. Sebastian Strunz

Helmholtz-Zentrum für Umweltforschung (UFZ), Leipzig

Dr. Stefan Vögele

Forschungszentrum Jülich

Dr. Sebastian Voigt

Zentrum für Europäische Wirtschaftsforschung (ZEW), Mannheim

M. Sc. Christoph Weissbart

CESifo, München

 Short Overview of Results:

The first part of the workshop focused on the final presentation and evaluation of the developed story lines. During this section, the participating experts verified that the scenarios did not show any inconsistencies or logical errors.

Application of the CIB produced a scenario-room of 26 consistent scenarios. Those scenarios were clustered in four groups:

  • Restauration of the EU
  • Dash for Gas
  • Green Prosperity
  • Renaissance of the Nation State

The four groups show a strong congruency with regard to their substance and basic assumptions about future developments. For each cluster one representative scenario was chosen. The resulting four scenarios were described by narratives, which were presented during the third CIB Workshop.

The second part of the workshop concentrated on the implementation of the presented storylines into the models of the project partners. Special focus was the translation of the descriptors’ variations into the model frameworks.

 

 

Acknowledgements:

 For the support and consultation during the preparation phase of the third CIB workshop, we would like to express our gratitude to:

  • Dr. Wolfgang Habla, Zentrum für Europäische Wirtschaftsforschung (ZEW), Mannheim
  • Dr. Stefan Vögele, Forschungszentrum Jülich
  • Dr. Sebastian Voigt, Zentrum für Europäische Wirtschaftsforschung (ZEW), Mannheim

Furthermore, we would like to thank:

  • Ms. Krug, secretary of the Chair of Economics, especially Resource Economics